00:06 26-10-2014
MAIN Russian
About us On-line subscription
KazakhstanTajikistanUzbekistanKyrgyzstanTurkmenistanWorld
POLITICSBUSINESSINCIDENTSSOCIETYCULTURESPORTANALYSISSCIENCE
Japan second quarter economy contracts annualized 6.8 percent as tax hike bites

Bishkek (AKIpress) - Asian shares Japan suffered its biggest economic contraction since the devastating March 2011 earthquake in the April-June quarter as a sales tax hike took a heavy toll on household spending, stoking fears that any rebound may be too modest to sustain a solid recovery, Reuters said.

While the soft data is unlikely to shake the Bank of Japan's conviction that the economy can ride out the tax hike impact, it could add pressure on the bank for further monetary easing if weakness in exports and consumption is prolonged.

The world's third-largest economy shrank an annualized 6.8 percent in the second quarter, less than a median market forecast for a 7.1 percent drop and following a 6.1 percent increase in January-March as consumers spent heavily to avoid the sales tax increase, Cabinet Office data showed on Wednesday.

The government took a relaxed view of the data, with Economics Minister Akira Amari saying in a statement: "Looking at monthly data during April-June, sales of electronics goods and those at department stores are picking up after falling sharply in April.

"The job market is also improving steadily. Taking these into account, Japan's economy continues to recover moderately as a trend and the effect of the sales tax hike is subsiding."

The second quarter contraction was the biggest decline since the first quarter of 2011, when the devastating earthquake and tsunami struck in March.

On a quarter-to-quarter basis, Japan's economy shrank 1.7 percent in the second quarter, less than a median market forecast for a 1.8 percent fall, the data showed.

"The economy will rebound to annualized growth around 5 percent in July-September" due to strong summer bonuses and public works spending, said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute.

"The BOJ remains focused on prices and it could ease again in October when it reviews its economic outlook, with prices likely undershooting its projections."

Private consumption, which makes up about 60 percent of the economy, took a hit from the sales tax hike in April to fall 5.0 percent in the quarter, more than a median market forecast for a 4.3 percent drop.

Exports, a main driver of the economy, showed signs of a recovery from recent weakness. External demand added 1.1 percentage points to economic growth, after shaving 0.2 percentage point off growth in the first quarter.

The BOJ has kept monetary policy steady since deploying an intense burst of stimulus in April last year, when it pledged to double base money via aggressive asset purchases to accelerate inflation to 2 percent in roughly two years.

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has repeatedly said he wouldn't be surprised or fazed to see a contraction in April-June economic activity, which would largely be in reaction to a surge in demand ahead of the tax hike. He has argued that growth is set to rebound in the third quarter as tightening labor markets boost wages and support household spending.

The central bank thus sees no need to expand monetary stimulus any time soon. But some board members have offered a more cautious view on the outlook than Kuroda, warning that the rebound in July-September could be softer than expected as a much hoped-for pick-up in exports has been delayed.

Exports unexpectedly fell in June for a second straight month and output plunged at the fastest pace since the March 2011 earthquake, forcing the BOJ to revise down its assessments on exports and output last week.


Twitterfacebookprint
10:01 13.08.2014
LATEST NEWS
15:54 Vice PM Dil, President of Turkmenistan discuss Atambayev's visit to Ashgabat15:48 Kyrgyzstan needs to procure 2.2 million tons of coal for autumn-winter period15:34 Tenge/som exchange rate rises by 8.93% since February tenge devaluation in Kazakhstan - National Bank15:07 Vietnam business tycoon Ha Van Tham arrested for 'fraud'15:03 Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan conduct drills on elimination of consequences from emergency situations14:52 Nazarbayev to take part in 10th World Islamic Economic Forum in Dubai14:36 Talas unveils sculpture of writer Chingiz Aitmatov14:30 Atambayev congratulates employees of local governments on their professional day14:08 Chinese Vice FM attends reception marking 23rd anniversary of Independence of Tajikistan13:44 New York axe attack 'terrorist act by Muslim convert'13:21 Gazprom to supply 330 mln m3 of gas to Jambul TPP to reduce cost of electricity supply from Kazakhstan13:19 90 projects to be approved within Business Roadmap 2020 in Kazakhstan's Karaganda12:27 Rusnano representatives discuss issues of nanotechnology in Kyrgyzstan12:21 86.7% of grain produced in Kazakhstan so far - Ministry12:03 Egypt imposes state of emergency in Sinai after attacks11:15 Kyrgyzstan has become attractive for investors after reforms for favorable conditions for business - Deputy Economy Minister10:53 Kyrgyzstan signs a number of investment deals for doing business better10:21 Google's Alan Eustace beats Baumgartner's skydiving record10:18 Kazakh oil output to rise with Kashagan after 2020 - official09:59 Ebola outbreak: Cases pass 10,000, WHO reports
Astana
-4° C
Ashgabat
+7° C
Bishkek
+18° C
Dushanbe
+20° C
Tashkent
+20° C
exchange rates
 
71.18
56.25
9.20
1.35
228.80
180.87
29.57
4.32
6.33
4.99
0.82
0.12
3084.28
2367.40
385.74
61.13
3.60
2.85
0.47
0.07

© AKIpress News Agency - 2001-2014
Use of the AKIpress.com materials must be accompanied by a hyperlink to www.akipress.com
Our address:
Moskovskaya str. 189, Bishkek, the Kyrgyz Republic
e-mail: english@akipress.org, akipressenglish@gmail.com;
Tel/Fax: +996(312)90-07-75